Terroir 2010 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 Using atmospheric and statistical models to understand local climate and assess spatial temperature variability at a fine scale over the Stellenbosch wine district, South Africa

Using atmospheric and statistical models to understand local climate and assess spatial temperature variability at a fine scale over the Stellenbosch wine district, South Africa

Abstract

Atmospheric and statistical models were used to increase understanding of potential climatic impacts, resulting from mesoscale physical processes that cause significant temperature variability for viticulture within the Stellenbosch Wine of Origin district. Hourly temperature values from 16 automatic weather stations and 40 tinytag data loggers located in the vineyards were analysed. The 5th of March 2009 was selected as an example to study the cooling potential of the terroirs in radiative weather conditions during grape ripening time. Differences reached more than 10°C between vineyards and can be considered as significant for viticulture. Numerical simulations using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System were performed. Results for a horizontal grid resolution of 200 m over the Stellenbosch wine region for the 5th of March 2009 showed that the temperature difference was due to cool air accumulation with land and downslope breezes. Surface temperature data recorded in the vineyards were used to produce, by means of multicriteria statistical modelling, which took environmental factors into account, a map of spatial distribution of the daily minimum temperature at a fine scale (90 m). The use of the two models represented an interesting tool to help in identifying the cooling potential of locations for viticulture and, at a later stage, studying the impacts of climate change at fine scales.

DOI:

Publication date: October 6, 2020

Issue: Terroir 2010

Type: Article

Authors

V. Bonnardot (1), V. Carey (2), M. Madelin (3), S. Cautenet (4), Z. Coetzee (2), H. Quénol (1)

(1) COSTEL-LETG, UMR 6554 CNRS, Université Rennes2, Place du Recteur H. Le Moal, 35043 Rennes
(2) Department of Viticulture and Oenology, Stellenbosch University, Private Bag X1 Matieland 7602, RSA.
(3) PRODIG, UMR 8586 CNRS, Université Paris 7 Diderot, 2 rue Valette, 75005 Paris, France.
(4) LaMP, UMR 6016 CNRS, Université Blaise Pascal, 24 Avenue des Landais, 63177 Aubière, France

Contact the author

Keywords

Atmospheric modelling, statistical modelling, cooling potential, vineyard, South Africa

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terroir 2010

Citation

Related articles…

Mousy off-flavor detection: a rapid LCMS/MS method

These days, consumers are interested in food products linked to the environment and the concept of naturalness. They prefer “free” products, such as those with no pesticide residues or no added sulfur dioxide (so2) in wines. In fact, so2 is the most widely used preservative in winemaking, as it has multiple properties at low cost: it is antioxidant, antioxidasic and antimicrobial.

Mycotoxin accumulation and the possibilities of biological control of wine production quality

Against the background of climate change and the increasing impact of phytopathogenic agents of mycotic origin on the vine favors the appearance and toxicity of mycotoxins in wine.

Integrating genomic prediction into grapevine breeding programs

Genomic selection (GS) has emerged as a transformative tool for accelerating breeding programs by predicting the genetic potential of individuals using genome-wide markers.

Assessing the climate change vulnerability of European winegrowing regions by combining exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity indicators

Winegrowing regions recognized as protected designations of origin (PDOs) are closely tied to well defined geographic locations with a specific set of pedoclimatic attributes and strictly regulated by legal specifications. However, climate change is increasingly threatening these regions by changing local conditions and altering winegrowing processes. The vulnerability to these changes is largely heterogenous across different winegrowing regions because it is determined by individual characteristics of each region, including the capacity to adapt to new climatic conditions and the sensitivity to climate change, which depend not only on natural, but also socioeconomic and legal factors. Accurate vulnerability assessments therefore need to combine information about adaptive capacity and climate change sensitivity with projected exposure to new climatic conditions. However, most existing studies focus on specific impacts neglecting important interactions between the different factors that determine climate change vulnerability. Here, we present the first comprehensive vulnerability assessment of European wine PDOs that spatially combines multiple indicators of adaptive capacity and climate change sensitivity with high-resolution climate projections. We found that the climate change vulnerability of PDO areas largely depends on the complex interactions between physical and socioeconomic factors. Homogenous topographic conditions and a narrow varietal spectrum increase climate change vulnerability, while the skills and education of farmers, together with a good economic situation, decrease their vulnerability. Assessments of climate change consequences therefore need to consider multiple variables as well as their interrelations to provide a comprehensive understanding of the expected impacts of climate change on European PDOs. Our results provide the first vulnerability assessment for European winegrowing regions at high spatiotemporal resolution that includes multiple factors related to climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity on the level of single winegrowing regions. They will therefore help to identify hot spots of climate change vulnerability among European PDOs and efficiently direct adaptation strategies.

Vitamin content of grape musts and yeast nutrition: A review

The management of yeast nutrition is an essential approach for a better control over wine fermentation process. Most of the researches on this subject in the last decades focused on nitrogen nutrition. However, vitamins, while being key compounds for yeast metabolism as co-factors for numerous enzymatic activities, were left mostly unexplored.