Terroir 2020 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 International Terroir Conferences 9 Terroir 2020 9 History and innovation of terroir 9 How geographical origin and vineyard management influence cv. Cabernet-Sauvignon in Chile – Machine learning based quality prediction

How geographical origin and vineyard management influence cv. Cabernet-Sauvignon in Chile – Machine learning based quality prediction

Abstract

Aims: The aims of this study were to i) characterize the impact of geographical origin and viticulture treatments on Chilean Cabernet-Sauvignon, and ii) develop machine learning models to predict its quality. 

Methods and Results: 100 vineyard plots representing the typical percentage distribution of geographical and viticulture impact factors on Chilean Cabernet-Sauvignon were monitored across two seasons, 2018 and 2019. Chemical analysis of grapes and wines included the quantification of phenolic compounds by liquid chromatography and UV-vis spectral measurements, aroma compounds by gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC/MS), and maturity parameters. Spearman correlation and Principal component analysis (PCA) identified correlations of several non-volatile and volatile compounds with quality, mainly by means of their anthocyanins, flavonols, flavan‑3‑ols, total tannins and hydroxycinnamic acids. Furthermore by trans-2-hexenol, trans-3-hexenol, hexanal, 2-isobutyl-3-methoxypyrazine (IBMP), yeast assimilable nitrogen (YAN), total soluble solids and acidity. Experimental winemaking of 600 kg per plot followed a standardized procedure, and the wines were analyzed by an expert quality rating. A sensory quality profiling for the wines was performed through a Napping Ultra Flash Profile (UFP). It revealed the distinction of three different quality levels by mainly mouthfeel attributes, and fruity and green aromas. However, neither the observed correlations of chemical analysis and sensory quality ratings, nor origin or viticulture treatment could fully explain quality. Different clustering methods, namely k-means, k-medioids and spectral clustering were evaluated in order to find categories given by the chemical analysis data itself as unsupervised machine learning. Spectral clustering led to optimum results, and independently of sample origin and viticulture traits, quality ratings were characterized to be significantly different across the clusters allowing their interpretation as quality categories. 

Conclusions: 

Chilean Cabernet-Sauvignon quality is associated with chemical quality markers known for this variety in Australia and California, including phenolic compounds, C6 alcohols and aldehydes, IBMP, maturity parameters and YAN. However, evaluation of sensory quality is fairly subjective and viticulture treatments in practical application contain interdependency, therefore it is challenging to establish supervised models involving this data. The application of unsupervised spectral clustering is proposed as an objective quality classification approach, which can be trained using supervised models for predictive purposes.

Significance and Impact of the Study: There is a high industrial need for objective quality classification. For the first time chemical quality markers for Chilean Cabernet-Sauvignon were determined, and an unsupervised machine learning approach based on these markers could be proposed for objective quality classification.

DOI:

Publication date: March 19, 2021

Issue: Terroir 2020

Type: Video

Authors

Doreen Schober1*, Martin Legues1,2, Hugo Guidez3, Jose Carlos Caris Maldonado1, Sebastian Vargas1,  Alvaro Gonzalez Rojas1

1Center for Research and Innovation (CRI), Viña Concha y Toro, Ruta k-650 km 10, Pencahue, Región de Maule, Chile
2Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Región Metropolitana, Santiago, Chile
3Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, Agroalimentaires, Horticoles et du Paysage, Agrocampus Ouest Campus d´Angers, France

Contact the author

Keywords

Cabernet-Sauvignon, spectral clustering, quality, terroir, vineyard management

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terroir 2020

Citation

Related articles…

Effect of vigour and number of clusters on eonological parameters and metabolic profile of Cabernet Sauvignon red wines

Vegetative growth and yield are reported to affect grape and wine quality. They can be controlled through different techniques linked to vine management. The objective of this research was to determine the effect of vine vigour and number of clusters per vine on physicochemical composition and phenolic profile of red wines. The experiment was carried out during two vegetative cycles, with cv. Cabernet Sauvignon grafted onto Paulsen 1103. Three vine vigour were defined, according to shoot weight at previous harvests, being low, medium and high. Five treatments of number of clusters were used for each vigour, with 15, 22, 29, 36, and 45 clusters per vine. Grapes from all treatments were harvested in the same day from Brix and total acidity criteria. Thirty days after bottling, classical analyzes and phenolic compounds were performed. As results, different responses were obtained from each vintage. In 2020, a dry season from veraison to harvest, grapes and wines obtained from low vigour treatment and 45 clusters per vine was the highest in sugar and alcohol content respectively, while grapes and wines from high vigour and 15 clusters presented the lowest sugar and alcohol content. Total anthocyanins were higher in treatment with low vigour and 15 clusters, while the lowest amounts were found in low vigour with 45 clusters, as well as medium and high vigour with 36 clusters per vine. Total tannins were higher in high vigour with 22 clusters and medium vigour with 29 clusters, while were lower in low vigour with 36 clusters. In 2021, a wet season at harvest, responses were different, and great variations were observed between treatments. As conclusions, yield and vine vigour had strong influence on grape and wine quality, promoting different enological potentials on which can be indicated/used for aging strategies of red and even rosé wines.

Climate change projections to support the transition to climate-smart viticulture

The Earth’s system is undergoing major changes through a wide range of spatial and temporal scales as a response to growing anthropogenic radiative forcing, which is pushing the whole system far beyond its natural variability. Sources of greenhouse gases largely exceed their sinks, thus leading to a strengthened greenhouse effect. More energy is thereby being supplied to the system, with inevitable shifts in climatic patterns and weather regimes. Over the last decades, these modifications have been manifested in the full statistical distributions of the atmospheric variables, with dramatic changes in the frequency and intensity of extremes. Natural hazards, such as severe droughts, floods, forest fires, or heatwaves, are being triggered by extreme atmospheric events worldwide, thus threatening human activities. Viticultculture is not only exposed to changing climates but is also highly vulnerable, as grapevine phenology and physiological development are strongly controlled by atmospheric conditions. Therefore, the assessment of climate change projections for a given region is critical for climate change adaptation and risk reduction in viticulture. By adopting timely and suitable measures, the future sustainability and resiliency of the sector can be fostered. Climate-grapevine chain modelling is an essential tool for better planning and management. However, the accuracy of the resulting projections is limited by many uncertainties that must be duly taken into account when transferring knowledge to stakeholders and decision-makers. Climate-smart viticulture will comprise ensembles of locally tuned strategies, envisioning both adaptation and mitigation, assisted by emerging technologies and decision-support systems.

Using δ13C and hydroscapes as a tool for discriminating cultivar specific drought response

Measurement of carbon isotope discrimination in berry juice sugars at maturity (δ13C) provides an integrated assessment of water use efficiency (WUE) during the period of berry ripening, and when collected over multiple seasons can be used as an indication of drought stress response. Berry juice δ13C measurements were carried out on 48 different varieties planted in a common garden experiment in Bordeaux, France from 2014 through 2021 and were paired with midday and predawn leaf water potential measurements on the same vines in a subset of six varieties. The aim was to discriminate a large panel of varieties based on their stomatal behaviour and potentially identify hydraulic traits characterizing drought tolerance by comparing δ13C and hydroscapes (the visualisation of plant stomatal behaviour as a response to predawn water potential). Cluster analysis found that δ13C values are likely affected by the differing phenology of each variety, resulting in berry ripening of different varieties taking place under different stress conditions within the same year. We accounted for these phenological differences and found that cluster analysis based on specific δ13C metrics created a classification of varieties that corresponds well to our current empirical understanding of their relative drought tolerances. In addition, we analysed the water potential regulation of the subset of six varieties (using the hydroscape approach) and found that it was well correlated with some δ13C metrics. Surprisingly, a variety’s water potential regulation (specifically its minimum critical leaf water potential under water deficit) was strongly correlated to δ13C values under well-watered conditions, suggesting that base WUE may have a stronger impact on drought tolerance than WUE under water deficit. These results give strong insights on the innate WUE of a very large panel of varieties and suggest that studies of drought tolerance should include traits expressed under non-limiting conditions.

Simulating climate change impact on viticultural systems in historical and emergent vineyards

Global climate change affects regional climates and hold implications for wine growing regions worldwide. Although winegrowers are constantly adapting to internal and external factors, it seems relevant to develop tools, which will allow them to better define actual and future agro-climatic potentials. Within this context, we develop a modelling approach, able to simulate the impact of environmental conditions and constraints on vine behaviour and to highlight potential adaptation strategies according to different climate change scenarios. Our modeling approach, named SEVE (Simulating Environmental impacts on Viticultural Ecosystems), provides a generic modeling framework for simulating grapevine growth and berry ripening under different conditions and constraints (slope, aspect, soil type, climate variability…) as well as production strategies and adaptation rules according to climate change scenarios. Each activity is represented by an autonomous agent able to react and adapt its reaction to the variability of environmental constraints. Using this model, we have recently analyzed the evolution of vineyards’ exposure to climatic risks (frost, pathogen risk, heat wave) and the adaptation strategies potentially implemented by the winegrowers. This approach, implemented for two climate change scenarios, has been initiated in France on traditional (Loire Valley) and emerging (Brittany) vineyards. The objective is to identify the time horizons of adaptations and new opportunities in these two regions. Carried out in collaboration with wine growers, this approach aims to better understand the variability of climate change impacts at local scale in the medium and long term.

Use of a new, miniaturized, low-cost spectral sensor to estimate and map the vineyard water status from a mobile 

Optimizing the use of water and improving irrigation strategies has become increasingly important in most winegrowing countries due to the consequences of climate change, which are leading to more frequent droughts, heat waves, or alteration of precipitation patterns. Optimized irrigation scheduling can only be based on a reliable knowledge of the vineyard water status.

In this context, this work aims at the development of a novel methodology, using a contactless, miniaturized, low-cost NIR spectral tool to monitor (on-the-go) the vineyard water status variability. On-the-go spectral measurements were acquired in the vineyard using a NIR micro spectrometer, operating in the 900–1900 nm spectral range, from a ground vehicle moving at 3 km/h. Spectral measurements were collected on the northeast side of the canopy across four different dates (July 8th, 14th, 21st and August 12th) during 2021 season in a commercial vineyard (3 ha). Grapevines of Vitis vinifera L. Graciano planted on a VSP trellis were monitored at solar noon using stem water potential (Ψs) as reference indicators of plant water status. In total, 108 measurements of Ψs were taken (27 vines per date).

Calibration and prediction models were performed using Partial Least Squares (PLS) regression. The best prediction models for grapevine water status yielded a determination coefficient of cross-validation (r2cv) of 0.67 and a root mean square error of cross-validation (RMSEcv) of 0.131 MPa. This predictive model was employed to map the spatial variability of the vineyard water status and provided useful, practical information towards the implementation of appropriate irrigation strategies. The outcomes presented in this work show the great potential of this low-cost methodology to assess the vineyard stem water potential and its spatial variability in a commercial vineyard.