Terroir 2016 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 International Terroir Conferences 9 Terroir 2016 9 Climates of Wine Regions Worldwide 9 Climate change impacts on European grapevine yields through a dynamic crop modelling approach

Climate change impacts on European grapevine yields through a dynamic crop modelling approach

Abstract

Climate has a predominant role on growth and development of grapevines. Therefore, climate change represents an important challenge to the winemaking sector. The present study aims to develop climate change projections for grapevine yields in Europe. For this purpose, gridded climatic variables over a recent-past (1950-2000) and RCP8.5 future scenarios (2041-2060), are coupled with the STICS crop model. For each grid-cell in the European sector, soil (e.g. type, texture, depth) and terrain parameters are determined and used as model inputs. Grapevine and crop management variables are also defined. Yield simulations under current and future climates are then compared to identify climate change signals. For the recent-past, the crop model is able to properly simulate yields for the main current European wine regions, showing lower yields in Southern Europe and higher yields in more central/northern regions. For the future, the results depict an increase in yield in the later regions, and a decrease in the former, mostly over inner Iberia. The projections also show a northwards extension of the potential grapevine growth areas, emerging new potential winemaking regions in northern Europe. The current study is a first attempt to apply the STICS crop model to the whole European sector, by using climatic, soil and terrain data as inputs, and the results are thereby preliminary. By using climate change projections as inputs to crop models, the present approach may represent a key decision support system for the European winemaking sector.

 

 

 

DOI:

Publication date: June 22, 2020

Issue: Terroir 2016

Type: Article

Authors

Helder FRAGA (1), Iñaki GARCÍA DE CORTÁZAR ATAURI (2), Aureliano MALHEIRO (1), João A. SANTOS (1)

(1) Centre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences, Universidade de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, 5000-801 Vila Real Portugal
(2) French National Institute for Agricultural Research, INRA, US1116 AgroClim, F-84914 Avignon, France

 

Contact the author

Keywords

grapevine yields, dynamic modelling, climate change, STICS, Europe

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terroir 2016

Citation

Related articles…

Using elicitors in different grape varieties. Effect over their phenolic composition

Phenolic compounds are very important in crop plants and have been the subject of a large number of studies. Three main reasons can be cited for optimizing the level of phenolic compounds in crop plants: their physiological role in plants, their technological significance for food processing, and their nutritional characteristics1 Indeed, an enormous diversity of phenolic antioxidants is found in fruits and vegetables, and their presence and roles can be affected or modified by several pre- and postharvest cultural practices and/or food processing technologies (Ruiz-García et al. 2012, Goldman et al. 1999, Tudela et al. 2002). In winegrapes, the technological importance of phenolic compounds, mainly flavonoids, is well-known.

Economic comparison of viticultural cultivation systems: evaluating costs across integrated, organic, and biodynamic practices

The cost-effectiveness of a winery requires constant cost control in order to ensure competitiveness on the wine market.

Survey of pesticide residues in vineyard soils from the Denomination of Origin Ribeiro

Vineyards from mild temperature, high humidity locations receive often treatments with fungicides to prevent damages produced by fungi responsible for mildium, oidium and botrytis infections. In addition, insecticides are also applied to vineyards to fight again pests, which affect directly, or indirectly (as vectors of different diseases), their productivity. A fraction of the above compounds reaches the soil of vineyards, either during application, or when released from the canopy of vines due to rain-wash-off. Thereafter, depending on soil conditions (pH, organic matter) and environmental variables (regimen of rain, slope of vineyards), they might persist in this compartment, be degraded and/or transferred to water masses, modifying the biodiversity of soils and/or affecting the quality of water reservoirs.

French wine sector facing climate change (part. 1): A national strategy built on a foresight and participatory approach

A foresight study was carried out by a group of experts from INRAE, universities, INAO and FranceAgriMer from 2014 as part of the multidisciplinary “laccave” project intended to anticipate climate change in the French wine industry. The initial objective was to initiate an interdisciplinary dialogue between researchers and to feed their questions in a more systemic way. The scenario development method made it possible to build possible futures for the wine sector in the face of climate change. It began by drafting four adaptation strategies, combining different possible intensities of innovation and relocation of the vineyard.

Digitalization and valorization of the genotypic and phenotypic information retained within the FEM grapevine germplasm

The maintenance and valorization of genetic diversity is an undoubtable resource for the viticulture of the future, since the climate crisis is forcing us to think of new, more resilient varieties. For this reason, the grapevine germplasm of the Fondazione Edmund Mach has been continuously expanded in the last decade to a total of 3,120 accessions, whose trueness-to-type has been verified by means of the universal set of nine microsatellites. About two thirds are V. vinifera subsp. vinifera accessions, while the rest consists of naturalized and selected hybrids, V. vinifera subsp. sylvestris, and pure species. The genetic material has also been characterized over three consecutive years for ampelographic, vine development, and biotic stress response traits to be exploited for experimental purposes.