terclim by ICS banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 OIV 9 OIV 2024 9 Orals - Economy and law 9 A look back at 20 years of exploring the future of the vines and wines sector

A look back at 20 years of exploring the future of the vines and wines sector

Abstract

What if, in 25 years, most wines were dealcoholized and flavored? What if vines were only cultivated to fight erosion, store carbon, and provide anthocyanins…? What if climate change completely changed the list of vine varieties cultivable for wine production in France? What if food stores had completely disappeared in favour of virtual platforms? And if…

Because the long-term future is not predetermined and therefore not knowable, because the future is open to several possibilities, because the future does not emerge from nothing but from the present which conceals heavy trends and weak signals, prospective approaches make it possible to consider the room for maneuverer that actors have to promote the advent of a future, which we can hope to be chosen, at least in part. They mobilize a systemic approach which involves putting each question asked into perspective in relation to different possible constructions of the future world, both that of knowledge and that of companies and organizations.

Since its creation in 2009, FranceAgriMer has conducted foresight exercises with agricultural sectors to build together common representations of their operations and future scenarios. Then, on this basis, the actors of the sectors were systematically invited to analyse the consequences of the scenarios and to debate them. Thus, from the organization of a debate on the future, a collective sector strategy can emerge.

On the basis of the foresight “Vines and Wines, Scenarios and challenges for research and stakeholders” published in 2003 under the direction of Michel Sebillotte, around fifteen exercises were carried out for and on the vineyard and wine sector in collaboration with the Agro M Institute. Insights were provided more specifically to various organizations and segments of the sector, such as cooperation, organic wines, wines without GI, etc. ultimately providing a set of reflections whose alignment proves inspiring and useful for anticipating the he future of the sector as a whole and perhaps even beyond national borders.

Retour sur 20 ans d’explorations des futurs de la filière vignes et vins

Et si, dans 25 ans, la plupart des vins étaient désalcoolisés et aromatisés ? Et si la vigne n’était plus cultivée que pour lutter contre l’érosion, stocker du carbone, et fournir des anthocyanes… ? Et si le changement climatique bouleversait totalement la liste des variétés de vignes cultivables pour la production de vin en france ? Et si les magasins d’alimentation avaient totalement disparu au profit de plateformes virtuelles ? Et si… parce que l’avenir à long terme n’est pas prédéterminé et donc pas connaissable, parce que l’avenir est ouvert à plusieurs possibles, parce que l’avenir n’émerge pas du néant mais du présent qui recèle des tendances lourdes et des signaux faibles, les démarches prospectives permettent d’envisager les marges de manœuvre qu’ont les acteurs pour favoriser l’advenue d’un futur, qu’on peut espérer choisi, au moins en partie. Elles mobilisent une approche systémique qui induit la mise en perspective de chaque question posée par rapport à différentes constructions possibles du monde futur, aussi bien celui des connaissances que celui des entreprises et des organisations. Depuis sa création en 2009 franceagrimer conduit avec les filières agricoles des exercices de prospective pour construire ensemble des représentations communes de leurs fonctionnements et des scénarios d’avenir. Ensuite, sur cette base, les acteurs des filières ont été systématiquement invités à analyser les conséquences des scénarios et à en débattre. Ainsi, de l’organisation d’un débat sur l’avenir peut émerger une stratégie collective de filière.  Sur la base de la prospective « vignes et vins, scénarios et défis pour la recherche et les acteurs » publiée en 2003 sous la direction de michel sebillotte, une dizaine d’exercices ont été menés pour et sur la filière vignes et vins en collaboration avec l’institut agro m. Des éclairages ont pu être fournis plus spécifiquement à diverses organisations et segments de la filière, comme la coopération, les vins bio, les vins sans ig,… fournissant finalement un ensemble de réflexions dont la mise en cohérence se révèle inspirante et utile pour anticiper l’avenir de la filière dans son ensemble et peut-être même au-delà des frontières nationales… la communication s’attachera à revenir sur  ces démarches, l’évolution des problématiques mises au jour au fil des exercices de prospective et de leur déploiement pour la filière française vigne et vin.

Una mirada retrospectiva a 20 años explorando el futuro del sector de la viña y el vino

¿qué pasaría si, dentro de 25 años, la mayoría de los vinos fueran desalcoholizados y aromatizados ? ¿y si la vid sólo se cultivara para combatir la erosión, almacenar carbono y proporcionar antocianinas…? ¿qué pasaría si el cambio climático cambiara por completo la lista de variedades de vid cultivables para la producción de vino en francia? ¿y si las tiendas de alimentación hubieran desaparecido por completo en favor de las plataformas virtuales? Y si… debido a que el futuro a largo plazo no está predeterminado y por lo tanto no es cognoscible, porque el futuro está abierto a varias posibilidades, porque el futuro no surge de la nada sino del presente que oculta fuertes tendencias y señales débiles, los enfoques prospectivos permiten considerar el margen de maniobra que tienen los actores para promover el advenimiento de un futuro, que podemos esperar ser elegido, al menos en parte. Movilizan un enfoque sistémico que implica poner en perspectiva cada pregunta planteada en relación con diferentes construcciones posibles del mundo futuro, tanto el del conocimiento como el de las empresas y organizaciones. Desde su creación en 2009, franceagrimer ha llevado a cabo ejercicios de prospectiva con los sectores agrícolas para construir juntos representaciones comunes de sus operaciones y escenarios futuros. Luego, sobre esta base, los actores de los sectores fueron invitados sistemáticamente a analizar las consecuencias de los escenarios y debatirlos. Así, de la organización de un debate sobre el futuro puede surgir una estrategia colectiva del sector. A partir de la prospectiva “viñas y vinos, escenarios y retos para la investigación y los actores” publicada en 2003 bajo la dirección de michel sebillotte, se realizaron una decena de ejercicios para y sobre el sector vitivinícola y vitivinícola en colaboración con el instituto agro m. Se proporcionaron conocimientos más específicos a diversas organizaciones y segmentos del sector, como la cooperación, los vinos orgánicos, los vinos sin ig, etc., proporcionando en definitiva un conjunto de reflexiones cuya alineación resulta inspiradora y útil para anticipar el futuro del sector en su conjunto. Y tal vez incluso más allá de las fronteras nacionales… la comunicación se centrará en revisar estos enfoques, la evolución de las cuestiones reveladas durante los ejercicios de prospectiva y su aplicación en el sector vitivinícola francés.

DOI:

Publication date: November 18, 2024

Issue: OIV 2024

Type: Article

Authors

Françoise Brugière1, Patrick Aigrain1 et Hervé Hannin2

1 FranceAgriMer
2 Institut Agro Montpellier, UMR MoISA, Université de Montpellier, France

Contact the author*

Tags

Full papers OIV 2024 | IVES Conference Series | OIV | OIV 2024

Citation

Related articles…

Les AOC : un frein ou un moteur à l’innovation ? Retour sur l’histoire économique, scientifique, sociale et technique des vins d’appellation au XXe siècle en France

At a time when the world’s winegrowing industry is having to adapt to a number of challenges, winegrowers are wondering about the consequent changes they will have to make (grape varieties, changes in vineyard and cellar techniques). For winegrowers and consumers alike, there is also the question of how these changes will affect the taste of their wines. This research, based on the study of numerous sources and archives from the 20th century, some of which have never been published before, aims to show that, in the recent past, the winegrowing world has shown incredible resilience in the face of crises, and that the taste and perception of fine wines has changed considerably in 100 years.

Bioprotection en phase pré-fermentaire, synthèse de 3 ans d’expérimentations dans différentes régions viticoles

With growing consumer interest in products without chemical additives, limiting the use of sulfites is a priority for the wine industry. Bioprotection is a biological alternative that avoids or reduces the risks of alterations that have a negative impact on the organoleptic quality of wines and, ultimately, on their acceptability to consumers. bioprotection can also provide a response to the risks of microbiological deviations, which are increased both by climate change and by the organization of harvesting operations, which increasingly include the use of multi-bins filled at the vine, exposing the harvest to sometimes high temperatures for longer periods of time.

Does treatment of grape juice with aspergillopepsin-i influence wine aroma?

Acid aspergillopepsins-i (ap-i) have been suggested for use in winemaking due to their ability to degrade proteins, which reduces haze formation and the necessity for bentonite to achieve protein stability. These endopeptidases cleave non-terminal amino acid bonds of proteins, resulting in their degradation.

Influence of soil management and vine water regime on leaf gas exchange, berry composition and quality of Chasselas wines in Switzerland

A soil management and vine irrigation trial was carried out for 4 consecutive years from 2020 to 2023 at agroscope’s experimental vineyard in leytron (Valais, Switzerland) with the Chasselas grape variety (clone 14-33/4, grafted on 5bb). Two types of soil maintenance (bare soil with chemical weeding and sown grass) coupled with two water regimes (with and without drip irrigation from flowering to veraison) were compared in a randomized design with four replicates of 10 vines each.

Overview on wine and health 32 years after the French paradox 

Phenolic compounds or polyphenols are the most abundant and ubiquitous secondary metabolites present in the plant kingdom with more than 8000 phenolic structures currently known. These compounds play an important role in plant growth and reproduction, providing protection against biotic and abiotic stress such as pathogen and insect attack, UV radiation and wounding. (poly)phenols are widely distributed in the human diet mainly in plant-derived food and beverages (fruits, vegetables, nuts, seeds, herbs, spices, tea and red wine).