terclim by ICS banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 Grapevine yield estimation in a context of climate change: the GraY model

Grapevine yield estimation in a context of climate change: the GraY model

Abstract

Grapevine yield is a key indicator to assess the impacts of climate change and the relevance of adaptation strategies in a vineyard landscape. At this scale, a yield model should use a number of parameters and input data in relation to the information available and be able to reproduce vineyard management decisions (e.g. soil and canopy management, irrigation). In this study, we used data from six experimental sites in Southern France (cv. Syrah) to calibrate a model of grapevine yield limited by water constraint (GraY). Each yield component (bud fertility, number of berries per bunch, berry weight) was calculated as a function of the soil water availability simulated by the WaLIS water balance model at critical phenological phases. The model was then evaluated in 10 grapegrowers’ plots, covering a diversity of biophysical and technical contexts (soil type, canopy size, irrigation, cover crop). We identified three critical periods for yield formation: after flowering on the previous year for the number of bunches and berries, around pre-veraison and post-veraison of the same year for mean berry weight. Yields were simulated with a model efficiency (EF) of 0.62 (NRMSE = 0.28). Bud fertility and number of berries per bunch were more accurately simulated (EF = 0.90 and 0.77, NRMSE = 0.06 and 0.10, respectively) than berry weight (EF = -0.31, NRMSE = 0.17). Model efficiency on the on-farm plots reached 0.71 (NRMSE = 0.37) simulating yields from 1 to 8 kg/plant. The GraY model is an original model estimating grapevine yield evolution on the basis of water availability under future climatic conditions.  It allows to evaluate the effects of various adaptation levers such as planting density, cover crop management, fruit/leaf ratio, shading and irrigation, in various production contexts.

DOI:

Publication date: May 31, 2022

Issue: Terclim 2022

Type: Poster

Authors

Audrey Naulleau1, Laure Hossard2, Laurent Prévot3, Christian Gary1

1ABSys, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, CIRAD, Institut Agro, Ciheam-IAMM, Montpellier, France
2Innovation, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, CIRAD, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
3LISAH, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, IRD, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France

Contact the author

Keywords

semi-empirical model, grape yield, water constraint, climate change, vineyard management

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terclim 2022

Citation

Related articles…

Water status response of Vitis vinifera L. cv Cabernet Sauvignon during the first years within the long-term VineyardFACE (Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment) study 

Understanding grapevine responses to increasing atmospheric CO2 (aCO2) concentrations is crucial for assessing the impact of climate change on viticulture. Previously, at the VineyardFACE (Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment) experiment in Geisenheim, leaf gas exchange measurements were made as Vitis vinifera cv. Cabernet Sauvignon established from planting (2014 to 2016) under aCO2 or elevated CO2 (eCO2, aCO2 + 20%) concentrations. Contrary to many preceding observations with grapevines and other perennial plant species the young vines showed an increased intrinsic water use efficiency (WUEi) that was mainly associated with an increase in net assimilation (A) rather than a decrease in stomatal conductance (gs) under eCO2.

HOLISTIC APPROXIMATION OF THE INFLUENCE OF SACCHAROMYCES STRAINS ON WINE AROMA PRECURSORS

Wine varietal aroma is the result of a mixture of compounds formed or liberated from specific grape-aroma precursors. Their liberation/formation from their specific precursors can occur spontaneously by acid catalyzed rearrangements or hydrolysis or by the action of the yeast enzymatic activities. The influence of yeast during fermentation on the production of these volatile compounds has been widely studied however, the effect of this influence during aging is not fully understood. In order to evaluate these processes several indirect strategies have been used to study aroma precursors although they are not useful to understand the chemistry of the process.

Terroir influence on growth, grapes and grenache wines in the AOC priorat, northeast Spain

The Mediterranean climate of The Priorat AOC, situated behind the coastal mountain range of Tarragona, tends towards continentality with very little precipitation during the vegetation cycle. The soil is poor, dry and rocky, largely composed of slate schist, known as “llicorella”. Vines primarily grow on steep slopes and terraces.

Assessing the climate change vulnerability of European winegrowing regions by combining exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity indicators

Winegrowing regions recognized as protected designations of origin (PDOs) are closely tied to well defined geographic locations with a specific set of pedoclimatic attributes and strictly regulated by legal specifications. However, climate change is increasingly threatening these regions by changing local conditions and altering winegrowing processes. The vulnerability to these changes is largely heterogenous across different winegrowing regions because it is determined by individual characteristics of each region, including the capacity to adapt to new climatic conditions and the sensitivity to climate change, which depend not only on natural, but also socioeconomic and legal factors. Accurate vulnerability assessments therefore need to combine information about adaptive capacity and climate change sensitivity with projected exposure to new climatic conditions. However, most existing studies focus on specific impacts neglecting important interactions between the different factors that determine climate change vulnerability. Here, we present the first comprehensive vulnerability assessment of European wine PDOs that spatially combines multiple indicators of adaptive capacity and climate change sensitivity with high-resolution climate projections. We found that the climate change vulnerability of PDO areas largely depends on the complex interactions between physical and socioeconomic factors. Homogenous topographic conditions and a narrow varietal spectrum increase climate change vulnerability, while the skills and education of farmers, together with a good economic situation, decrease their vulnerability. Assessments of climate change consequences therefore need to consider multiple variables as well as their interrelations to provide a comprehensive understanding of the expected impacts of climate change on European PDOs. Our results provide the first vulnerability assessment for European winegrowing regions at high spatiotemporal resolution that includes multiple factors related to climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity on the level of single winegrowing regions. They will therefore help to identify hot spots of climate change vulnerability among European PDOs and efficiently direct adaptation strategies.

Influenza di alcuni aspetti ambientali sul contenuto di stilbeni nel vino nell’area della DOC “Sangiovese di Romagna” (Italia)

The ambition of the zonation of the Doc “Sangiovese di Romagna” is described as 25 siti sperimentali, aventi diversa origine geologica, in cui è stato individuato un vigneto omogeneo per la determinazione dei principali parametri viticoli ed enologici. In seguito è stato analizzato il contentto di stilbeni nei vini al fine di indepth il legame con le charatteristiche geopedologiche. The studio describes the positive relationship between the altitude and the content of the trans -piceide nelle province di Forlì and Ravenna and of the trans -resveratrolo a Ravenna. I suoli con maggiore calcare attivo hanno fornito vini più ricchi in stilbeni.