terclim by ICS banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 Temperature-based phenology modelling for the grapevine 

Temperature-based phenology modelling for the grapevine 

Abstract

Historical phenology records have indicated that advances in key developmental stages such as budburst, flowering and veraison are linked to increasing temperature caused by climate change. Using phenological models the timing of grapevine development in response to temperature can be characterized and projected in response to future climate scenarios.
We explore the development and use of grapevine phenological models and highlight several applications of models to characterize the timing of key stages of development of varieties, within and between regions, and the result of projections under different climate change scenarios. The following aspects were evaluated: (1) importance of defining modelling objectives, (2) an understanding of database characteristics and how this may influence modelling outcomes, (3) the accuracy of models compared to observations, (4) the influence of the quality of phenological observations on model development and (5) the importance of calibrating a maximum the varieties for specific models. The challenges of the different modelling approaches and strengths and limitations of the outputs are discussed, particularly in the context of climate change projections.
Combining the results of these separate approaches highlights the opportunities and limitations of different modelling solutions and how different modelling approaches are needed to understand how temperature influences grapevine development depending on objectives, and that tools are available to help us better evaluate the potential effects of climate change on grapevine development.

DOI:

Publication date: June 13, 2024

Issue: Open GPB 2024

Type: Poster

Authors

Amber K. Parker1*, Mike C.T. Trought1,2, Laure de Rességuier3, Cornelis van Leeuwen3, Elena Moltchanova4, Hervé Quénol5, Andrew Sturman6, Inaki Garcia de Cortazar Atauri7

1 Department of Wine, Food and Molecular Biosciences, PO Box 85084, Lincoln University, Lincoln 7647, Christchurch, New Zealand
2The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited (PFR), Marlborough Research Centre, New Zealand
3 EGFV, Univ. Bordeaux, Bordeaux Sciences Agro, INRAE, ISVV, F-33882 Villenave d’Ornon, France
4School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand
5 LETG-Rennes COSTEL, UMR 6554 CNRS, Université Rennes 2, Rennes, France
6 Centre for Atmospheric Research, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
7Agroclim, INRAE, Avignon, France

Contact the author*

Keywords

grapevine, phenology, temperature, climate change, modelling

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Open GPB | Open GPB 2024

Citation

Related articles…

Soil electrical resistivity measurement: from terroir characterization to within-field crop inputs management

Soil Electrical Resistivity measurement is a zoning tool used by soil scientists and agronomists in viticulture. Indeed, the measure enables to optimize pedological surveys

Grape and wine quality of terraced local variety Pinela (Vitis vinifera L.) under different water management

Climate change is driving global temperatures up together with a reduction of rainfall, posing a risk to grape yields, wine quality, and threatening the historical viticulture areas of Europe.

Optimization and validation of a fully automated HS-SPME method for determination of VCCs and its application in wines submitted to accelerated ageing

Wine aroma is a complex gaseous mixture composed of various compounds; some of these molecules derive directly from the grapes while most of them are released and synthetized during fermentation or are due to ageing reactions

A mechanistic investigation of H/D scrambling processes in flavonoids

Several classes of flavonoids, such as anthocyanins, flavonols, flavanols and flavones, undergo a slow H/D exchange on aromatic ring A, leading to full deuteration at positions C(6) and C(8). Within the flavanol class, H-C(6) and H-C(8) of catechin and epicatechin are slowly exchanged in D2O to the corresponding deuterated analogues; even quercetin, a relevant flavonol representative, shows the same behaviour in a D2O/DMSOd6 1:1 solution. Detailed kinetic measurements of these H/D scrambling processes are here reported by exploiting the time-dependent changes of their peak areas in the 1H-NMR spectra taken at different temperatures. A unifying reaction mechanism is also proposed based on our detailed kinetic observations, even taking into account pH and solvent effects. Molecular modelling and QM calculations were also carried out to shed more light on several molecular details of the proposed mechanism.

Partial dealcoholisation of red wine by reverse osmosis-evaporative perstraction: impact on wine composition

Around the world, the alcohol content of wine has been steadily increasing; partly as a consequence of climate change, but also due to improvements in viticultural management practices and winemaking techniques [1,2]. Concurrently, market demand for wines with lower alcohol levels has increased as consumers seek to reduce alcohol intake for social and/or health reasons [3]. As such, there is increasing demand for both innovative methods that allow winemakers to produce ‘reduced alcohol wines’ (RAW) and a better understanding of the impact of such methods on the composition of RAW. This study therefore aimed to investigate compositional changes in two red wines resulting from partial alcohol removal following treatment by one such method, involving a combination of reverse osmosis and evaporative perstraction (RO-EP).