Terroir 2010 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 Validation of phenological models for grapevine in the Veneto region

Validation of phenological models for grapevine in the Veneto region

Abstract

In this study we have compared the predictive ability of two phenological models: a traditional Thermal Time (TT) and a version of the more recently develop Unified Model (UM). Unlike TT, which quantifies the accumulation of heat units which trigger bud break and the subsequent development phases, the UM describes also the fulfilment of chilling requirements, predicting the date of dormancy break, and implements a finer description of the plant development temperature-dependency. The models were fitted and validated on phenological observations collected from 1986 and 2008 in a site of North-Eastern Italy, on the cultivars Glera, Chardonnay, Merlot and Cabernet Sauvignon. The UM fitted better to observations than TT, and yielded more accurate estimates on the validation dataset. In both models, the accuracy of estimates decreased from bud break to veraison.

DOI:

Publication date: October 8, 2020

Issue: Terroir 2010

Type: Article

Authors

G. Fila (1), P. Belvini (2), F. Meggio (1), A. Pitacco (1)

(1) University of Padova, Department of Environmental Agronomy and Crop Science I-35020Legnaro (PD), Italy
(2) Centro per l’Educazione la Cooperazione e l’Assistenza Tecnica. I-31033-Castelfranco Veneto (TV),

Contact the author

Keywords

Grapevine phenology, modelling

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terroir 2010

Citation

Related articles…

Impacts of climate change on wine producer countries located north of the wine belt

Climate change poses significant challenges to the global wine sector, with cool-climate countries particularly vulnerable to its effects. The research employs a panel data analysis to investigate the impact of climate change on the wine industry in 66 countries, focusing on 11 cool-climate countries located north of the wine belt in the northern hemisphere. Utilizing data from OIV, FAO and climatic statistics from the climate change knowledge portal of the world bank spanning from 1961 to 2020, the research examines the relationship between temperature, precipitation, and wine production.

The interplay between grape ripening and weather anomalies – A modeling exercise

Current climate change is increasing inter- and intra-annual variability in atmospheric conditions leading to grapevine phenological shifts as well altered grape ripening and composition at ripeness. This study aims to (i) detect weather anomalies within a long-term time series, (ii) model grape ripening revealing altered traits in time to target specific ripeness thresholds for four Vitis vinifera cultivars, and (iii) establish empirical relationships between ripening and weather anomalies with forecasting purposes. The Day of the Year (DOY) to reach specific grape ripeness targets was determined from time series of sugar concentrations, total acidity and pH collected from a private company in the period 2009-2021 in North-Eastern Italy. Non-linear models for the DOY to reach the specified ripeness thresholds were assessed for model efficiency (EF) and error of prediction (RMSE) in four grapevine cultivars (Merlot, Cabernet Sauvignon, Glera and Garganega). For each vintage and cultivar, advances or delays in DOY to target specified ripeness thresholds were assessed with respect to the average ripening dynamics. Long-term meteorological series monitored at ground weather station by means of hourly air temperature and rainfall data were analyzed. Climate statistics were obtained and for each time period (month, bimester, quarter and year) weather anomalies were identified. A linear regression analysis was performed to assess a possible correlation that may exist between ripening and weather anomalies. For each cultivar, ripeness advances or delays expressed in number of days to target the specific ripening threshold were assessed in relation to registered weather anomalies and the specific reference time period in the vintage. Precipitation of the warmest month and spring quarter are key to understanding the effect of climate change on sugar ripeness. Minimum temperatures of May-June bimester and maximum temperatures of spring quarter best correlate with altered total acidity evolution and pH increment during the ripening process, respectively.

Alcohol preference and health behaviors in patients with cardiometabolic diseases: insights from the multi-center iact cross-sectional study

Recognizing the influence of alcohol preference on health behaviors is essential for developing tailored interventions that effectively promote healthier lifestyles and optimize disease management strategies in the vulnerable population of patients with cardiometabolic diseases (CMD). The present study aims to provide valuable insights into how alcohol preference relates to dietary habits and medication adherence among patients with CMD diseases.

Extracellular substances of lactic acid bacteria interests in biotechnological practices applied to enology

Extracellular substances (ECS) represent all molecules outside the cytoplasmic membrane, which are not directly anchored to the cell wall of microorganisms living through a planktonic or biofilm phenotype. They are the high-biomolecular-weight secretions from microorganisms (i.e. extracellular polymeric substances – EPS – proteins, polysaccharides, humic acid, nucleic acid), and the products of cellular lysis and hydrolysis of macromolecules. In addition, some high- and low-molecular-weight organic and inorganic matters from environment can also be adsorbed to the EPS. All can be firmly bound to the cell surface, associated with the EPS matrix of biofilm, or released as being freely diffusing throughout the medium.

Determination of target compounds in cava quality using liquid chromatography. Application of chemometric tools in data analysis

According to the Protected Designation of Origin (PDO), Cava is protected in the quality sparkling wines made by the traditional Champenoise method were the wine realize a second fermentation inside the own bottle1. Geographical and human peculiarities of each bottle are the main way for the final quality2. The aim of this study is to find correlations and which target compounds are the most representative of the quality of two different grape varieties, Pinot Noir and Xarel·lo. The quality of these two types of grapes is being studied for each variety by a previous classification of the vineyard made by the company who provided the samples (qualities A,B,C,D, being A the better one and D the worst one). The target compounds studied are organic acids and polyphenols. The methodology for the determination of organic acids is HPLC-UV/vis and for some of them the enzymatic methodology.