terclim by ICS banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 Grapevine yield estimation in a context of climate change: the GraY model

Grapevine yield estimation in a context of climate change: the GraY model

Abstract

Grapevine yield is a key indicator to assess the impacts of climate change and the relevance of adaptation strategies in a vineyard landscape. At this scale, a yield model should use a number of parameters and input data in relation to the information available and be able to reproduce vineyard management decisions (e.g. soil and canopy management, irrigation). In this study, we used data from six experimental sites in Southern France (cv. Syrah) to calibrate a model of grapevine yield limited by water constraint (GraY). Each yield component (bud fertility, number of berries per bunch, berry weight) was calculated as a function of the soil water availability simulated by the WaLIS water balance model at critical phenological phases. The model was then evaluated in 10 grapegrowers’ plots, covering a diversity of biophysical and technical contexts (soil type, canopy size, irrigation, cover crop). We identified three critical periods for yield formation: after flowering on the previous year for the number of bunches and berries, around pre-veraison and post-veraison of the same year for mean berry weight. Yields were simulated with a model efficiency (EF) of 0.62 (NRMSE = 0.28). Bud fertility and number of berries per bunch were more accurately simulated (EF = 0.90 and 0.77, NRMSE = 0.06 and 0.10, respectively) than berry weight (EF = -0.31, NRMSE = 0.17). Model efficiency on the on-farm plots reached 0.71 (NRMSE = 0.37) simulating yields from 1 to 8 kg/plant. The GraY model is an original model estimating grapevine yield evolution on the basis of water availability under future climatic conditions.  It allows to evaluate the effects of various adaptation levers such as planting density, cover crop management, fruit/leaf ratio, shading and irrigation, in various production contexts.

DOI:

Publication date: May 31, 2022

Issue: Terclim 2022

Type: Poster

Authors

Audrey Naulleau1, Laure Hossard2, Laurent Prévot3, Christian Gary1

1ABSys, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, CIRAD, Institut Agro, Ciheam-IAMM, Montpellier, France
2Innovation, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, CIRAD, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
3LISAH, Univ Montpellier, INRAE, IRD, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France

Contact the author

Keywords

semi-empirical model, grape yield, water constraint, climate change, vineyard management

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terclim 2022

Citation

Related articles…

Using gene editing to improve the hydraulic properties of grapevine roots under water stress conditions

Context and purpose of the study. Epidermal Patterning Factors are a family of small peptides that are highly conserved in the plant kingdom and are involved in several physiological and developmental processes.

Exemples de zonage au Chili et en Amérique Latine

Ce document présente la situation viticole des appellations d’origine en Argentine, Brésil, Chili et Uruguay.
L’étude s’est restreinte uniquement à ces 4 pays, bien qu’il en existe d’autres avec une production viticole d’une certaine importance.

The “green gold” @fem: assessing grapevine germplasm diversity to crossbreed the varieties of the future

Context and purpose of the study. To date over 3,000 grapevine accessions have been collected at Fondazione Edmund Mach (FEM).

Phenolic composition and physicochemical analysis of wines made with the syrah grape under double pruning in the Brazilian high-altitude cerrado

Wine growing has proven to be a development opportunity for agribusiness in several new regions of brazil, including the federal district. There are more than ten existing wineries, established in the last five years. Through the double pruning system, which consists of trimming the growing shoots in the summer and positioning the ripening of the fruits in a cooler period of the season, the grapes are sought to ripen more completely. The syrah variety has shown excellent adaptation to this cycle management model.

Rootstock x environment interaction shapes shoot system phenotypic variation in grafted ‘Chambourcin’

Recent advances in phenomics and transcriptomics have the enhanced capacity for understanding how clonally propagated perennial crops like grapevines respond to their environments seasonally and over the course of multiple years. Because most grapevines are grafted, above-ground grapevine traits reflect scion genotype and its interaction with the local environment. In addition, traits expressed by the scion reflect rootstock genotype and how that rootstock is interacting with its environment seasonally and across years. To investigate rootstock x environment interaction on shoot systems in grafted grapevines we characterized comprehensive phenotypic variation in an experimental vineyard in Mount Vernon, Missouri, USA where the grapevine cultivar ‘Chambourcin’ is growing on its own roots and is grafted to three different rootstocks (‘1103P’, ‘3309C’, ‘SO4’).