GiESCO 2019 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 GiESCO 9 GiESCO 2019 9 Aroma and quality assessment for vertical vintages using machine learning modelling based on weather and management information

Aroma and quality assessment for vertical vintages using machine learning modelling based on weather and management information

Abstract

Context and purpose of the study ‐ Wine quality traits are usually given by parameters such as aroma profile, total acidity, alcohol content, colour and phenolic content, among others. These are highly dependent on the weather conditions during the growing season and management strategies. Therefore, it is important to develop predictive models using machine learning (ML) algorithms to assess and predict wine quality traits before the winemaking process.

Material and methods ‐ Samples in duplicates of Pinot Noir wines from vertical vintages (2008 to 2013) of the same winery located in Macedon Ranges, Victoria, Australia were used to assess different chemical analytics such as i) aromas using gas chromatography – mass spectrometry, ii) color density, iii) color hue, iv) degree of red pigmentation, v) total red pigments, vi) total phenolics, vii) pH, viii) total acidity (TA), and ix) alcohol content. Data from weather conditions from the specific vintages were obtained both from the bureau of meteorology (BoM) and the Australian Wine Availability Project (AWAP) climate databases. Such data consisted of: i) solar exposure from veraison to harvest (V‐H), ii) solar exposure from September to harvest (S‐H), iii) maximum January solar exposure, iv) degree days from S‐H, v) maximum January evaporation, vi) mean maximum temperature from veraison to harvest, vii) mean minimum temperature from V‐H, viii) water balance from S‐H, ix) solar exposure from V‐H, x) degree hour accumulation with base 25 – 30 °C, xi) degree hour accumulation with base 25 °C, xii) degree hour accumulation with base 30 °C, xiii) degree hour accumulation with base 35 °C, and xiv) total cumulative degree days accumulation with base 10 °C. All data were used to develop two machine learning (ML) regression models using Matlab® R2018b. The best models obtained were using artificial neural networks (ANN) with the Levenberg‐Marquardt algorithm with 5 neurons for Model 1 and 9 neurons for Model 2. Model 1 was developed using the 14 parameters from the weather data as inputs to predict 21 aromas found in the wines from the six different vinatges. Model 2 was developed using the same 14 parameters from weather data and the eight chemical parameters as targets and outputs.

Results ‐ Both models obtained presented very high accuracy to predict wine quality trait parameters. Model 1 had an overall correlation coefficient R = 0.99 with a high performance based on the mean squared error (MSE = 0.01), while Model 2 had an overall correlation coefficient R = 0.98 with a high performance (MSE = 0.03). These models would aid in the prediction of wine quality traits before its production, which would give anticipated information to winemakers about the product they would obtain to make early decisions on wine style variations.

DOI:

Publication date: June 22, 2020

Issue: GiESCO 2019

Type: Article

Authors

Sigfredo FUENTES, Claudia GONZALEZ VIEJO, Xiaoyi WANG, Damir D. TORRICO

School of Agriculture and Food, Faculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, University of Melbourne, VIC 3010, Australia

Contact the author

Keywords

wine quality, machine learning, weather, aromas

Tags

GiESCO 2019 | IVES Conference Series

Citation

Related articles…

Bioclimatic shifts and land use options for Viticulture in Portugal

Land use, plays a relevant role in the climatic system. It endows means for agriculture practices thus contributing to the food supply. Since climate and land are closely intertwined through multiple interface processes, climate change may lead to significant impacts in land use. In this study, 1-km observational gridded datasets are used to assess changes in the Köppen–Geiger and Worldwide Bioclimatic (WBCS)

Downscaling of remote sensing time series: thermal zone classification approach in Gironde region

In viticulture, the challenges of local climate modelling are multiple: taking into account the local environment, fine temporal and spatial scales, reliable time series of climate data, ease of implementation and reproducibility of the method. At the local scale, recent studies have demonstrated the contribution of spatialization methods for ground-based climate observation data considering topographic factors such as altitude, slope, aspect, and geographic coordinates (Le Roux et al, 2017; De Rességuier et al, 2020). However, these studies have shown questions in terms of the reproducibility and sustainability of this type of climate study. In this context, we evaluated the potential of MODIS thermal satellite images validated with ground-based climate data (Morin et al, 2020). Previous studies have been encouraging, but questions remain to be explored at the regional scale, particularly in the dynamics of the massive use of bioclimatic indices to classify the climate of wine regions. The results at the local scale were encouraging, but this approach was tested in the current study at the regional scale. Several objectives were set: 1) to evaluate the downscaling method for land surface temperature time series, 2) to identify regional thermal structure variations. We used weekly minimum and maximum surface temperature time series acquired by MODIS satellites at a spatial resolution of 1000 m and downscaled at 500 m using topographical variables. Two types of analyses were performed:

The impact of leaf canopy management on eco-physiology, wood chemical properties and microbial communities in root, trunk and cordon of Riesling grapevines (Vitis vinifera L.)

In the last decades, climate change required already adaptation of vineyard management. Increase in temperature and unexpected weather events cause changes in all phenological stages requiring new management tools. For example, defoliation can be a useful tool to reduce the sugar content in the berries creating differences in the wine profiles. In a ten-year field experiment using Riesling (Vitis vinifera L, planted 1986, Geisenheim, Germany), various mechanical defoliation strategies and different intensities were trialed until 2016 before the vineyard was uprooted. Wood was sampled from the plant compartments root, trunk, cordon and shoot for analyses of physicochemical properties (e.g. lignin and element content, pH, diameter), nonstructural carbohydrates and the microbial communities. The aim of the study was to investigate the influence of reduced canopy leaf area on the sink-source allocation into different compartments and potential changes of the fungal and prokaryotic wood-inhabiting community using a metabarcoding approach. Severe summer pruning (SSP) of the canopy and mechanical defoliation (MDC) above the bunch zone decreased the leaf area by 50% compared to control (C). SSP reduced the photosynthetic capacity, which resulted in an altered source-sink allocation and carbohydrate storage. With lower leaf area, less carbohydrates are allocated. This for example resulted in a decreased trunk diameter. Further, it affected the composition of the grapevine wood microbiota. SSP and MDC management changed significantly the prokaryotic community composition in wood of the root samples, but had no effect in other compartments. In general, this study found strong compartment and less management effects of the microbial community composition and associated physicochemical properties. The highest microbial diversities were identified in the wood of the trunk, and several species were recorded the first time in grapevine.

Underpinning terroir with data: rethinking the zoning paradigm

Agriculture, natural resource management and the production and sale of products such as wine are increasingly data-driven activities. Thus, the use of remote and proximal crop and soil sensors to aid management decisions is becoming commonplace and ‘Agtech’ is proliferating commercially; mapping, underpinned by geographical information systems and complex methods of spatial analysis, is widely used. Likewise, the chemical and sensory analysis of wines draws on multivariate statistics; the efficient winery intake of grapes, subsequent production of wines and their delivery to markets relies on logistics; whilst the sales and marketing of wines is increasingly driven by artificial intelligence linked to the recorded purchasing behaviour of consumers. In brief, there is data everywhere!

Opinions will vary on whether these developments are a good thing. Those concerned with the ‘mystique’ of wine, or the historical aspects of terroir and its preservation, may find them confronting. In contrast, they offer an opportunity to those interested in the biophysical elements of terroir, and efforts aimed at better understanding how these impact on vineyard performance and the sensory attributes of resultant wines. At the previous Terroir Congress, we demonstrated the potential of analytical methods used at the within-vineyard scale in the development of Precision Viticulture, in contributing to a quantitative understanding of regional terroir. For this conference, we take this approach forward with examples from contrasting locations in both the northern and southern hemispheres. We show how, by focussing on the vineyards within winegrowing regions, as opposed to all of the land within those regions, we might move towards a more robust terroir zoning than one derived from a mixture of history, thematic mapping, heuristics and the whims of marketers. Aside from providing improved understanding by underpinning terroir with data, such methods should also promote improved management of the entire wine value chain.

Towards a regional mapping of vine water status based on crowdsourcing observations

Monitoring vine water status is a major challenge for vineyard management because it influences both yield and harvest quality. It is also a challenge at the territorial scale for identifying periods of high water restriction or zones regularly impacted by water stress. This information is of major importance for defining collective strategies, anticipating harvest logistic or applying for irrigation authorisation. At this spatial scale, existing tools and methods for monitoring vine water status are few and often require strong assumptions (e.g. water balance model). This paper proposes to consider a collaborative collection of observations by winegrowers and wine industry stakeholders (crowdsourcing) as an interesting alternative. Indeed, it allows the collection of a large number of field observations while pooling the collection effort. However, the feasibility of such a project and its interest in monitoring vine water status at regional scale has never been tested.

The objective of this article is to explore the possibility of making a regional map of vine water status based on crowdsourcing observations. It is based on the study of the free mobile application ApeX-Vigne, which allows the collection of observations about vine shoot growth. This information is easy to collect and can be considered, under certain conditions, as a proxy for vine water status. This article presents the first results obtained from the nearly 18,000 observations collected by winegrowers and wine industry stakeholders during 2019, 2020 and 2021 seasons. It presents the vine shoot growth maps obtained at regional scale and their evolution over the three vintages studied. It also proposes an analysis of the factors that favoured the number of observations collected and those that favoured their quality. These results open up new perspectives for monitoring vine water status at a regional scale but above they provide references for other crowdsourcing projects in viticulture.