Terroir 2016 banner
IVES 9 IVES Conference Series 9 International Terroir Conferences 9 Terroir 2016 9 Climates of Wine Regions Worldwide 9 Climate change projections in serbian wine-growing regions

Climate change projections in serbian wine-growing regions

Abstract

Changes in bioclimatic indices in wine-growing region of Serbia are analyzed under the RCP 8.5 IPCC scenario. Results of a global climate model are dynamically downscaled on a horizontal resolution of about 8 km, using a regional model NMMB for a period 1971-2100. Statistical bias correction of regional climate model’s daily outputs of precipitation, minimum and maximum temperature are done for an entire territory of Serbia, using a dataset of daily observation on a regular 8 km grid. Four of bioclimatic indices widely used in viticulture were calculated from the observations in the period 1971-2000 and from the bias corrected model output for two periods in the future, 2011-2040 and 2071-2100.

Results show temperature increase, especially during the vegetation period. By the end of the century precipitation amount during the growing season will significantly drop, alongside with a change of the intramural precipitation distribution towards the Mediterranean climate characteristics. Consequently, climate characteristics of Serbian wine-growing regions will drastically change towards a very warm and moderately dry climate categories.

DOI:

Publication date: June 23, 2020

Issue: Terroir 2016

Type: Article

Authors

Mirjam VUJADINOVIC (1,2), Ana VUKOVIC (1,2,) Darko JAKSIC (3), Vladimir DJURDJEVIC (4,2), Mirjana RUML (1), Zorica RANKOVIC-VASIC (1), Zoran PRZIC (1), Branislava SIVCEV (1), Nebojsa MARKOVIC (1), Bojan CVETKOVIC (2), Pierfederico LA NOTTE (5)

(1) Department of Viticulture, Institute of Horticulture, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Belgrade, 11080 Belgrade, Nemanjina 6., Serbia
(2) South East European Climate Change Center, RHMSS, 11000 Belgrade, Bulevar Oslobodjenja 8, Serbia
(3) Ministry of Agriculture and Environmental Protection, 11000 Belgrade, Nemanjina 22-26, Serbia
(4) Institute of Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, 11000 Belgrade, Dobracina 16, Serbia
(5) Institute for Sustainable Plant Protection, National Research Council of Italy, I-70126 Bari, Via Zmendola 122/D, Italy

Contact the author

Keywords

climate change, wine-growing regions, Serbia, regional climate model, high resolution, viticulture

Tags

IVES Conference Series | Terroir 2016

Citation

Related articles…

Drought tolerance of varieties in semi-arid areas: can the behavior of Tempranillo be improved by varieties of its own lineage?

Tempranillo is the most widely grown red grapevine variety in Spain, currently representing 42% of the total number of red varieties and 21% of the total vineyard area. Due to the economic importance that this variety represents in Spanish viticulture, in some areas where it is traditionally grown, there is a special concern about the viability of the future growing of this variety is being compromised by the climate change effects.

Influence of oak species on the differentiation of aged brandies using chemometrics approach based on phenolic compounds UHPLC fingerprints

Oak is the main material used in cooperage for making barrels and wood chips destined to aged spirits and wines. Quercus alba L., Quercus petraea L. and Quercus robur L. are three of the most commonly used oak species in cooperage companies.

Influence of methyl jasmonate foliar application to vineyard on grape volatile composition over three consecutive vintages

An alternative to improve grape quality is the application to the vineyard of elicitors. Although these compounds were first used to increase resistance of plants against pathogens, it has been found that they are also able to induce mechanisms involved in the synthesis of phenolic compounds and some amino acids. However, researches about the influence of elicitors on grape volatile composition are scarcely. Therefore, the aim of this work was to study the influence of methyl jasmonate (MeJ) foliar application on grape aroma composition over three consecutive vintages. MeJ was applied to Tempranillo grapevines at a concentration of 10 mM in 2013, 2014, and 2015 years. Control plants were sprayed with water.

Atmospheric modeling: a tool to identify locations best suited for vine cultivation. Preliminary results in the Stellenbosch region

The choice of sites for viticulture depends on natural environmental factors, particularly climate, as grapevines have specific climatic requirements for optimum physiological performance and berry quality achievement. In the Stellenbosch wine-producing region, the complex topography and the proximity of the ocean create a variety of topoclimates resulting in different growth conditions for vines within short distances.

Development and validation of a standardized oxidation assay for the accurate measurement of the ability of different wines to form “de novo” oxidation-related aldehydes

From the standpoint of wine aroma oxidation there are two effects observed: aroma degradation of oxygen sensitive compounds (polyfunctional mercaptans) and the appearance of new substances with high aromatic power (acetaldehyde, methional, phenylacetaldehyde, sotolon, alkenals, isobutanal and 2, 3-metylbutanals) (1-5). According to our experience, Strecker aldehydes are compounds with highest sensory relevance in the oxidative degradation of many wines (5-7).